Gujarat Elections 2017: BJP MLAS Keep Fingers Crossed Over Poll Tickets?
New Delhi: Many BJP mlas are stated to be worried that pm modi and party leader Amit Shah can also put into effect their timetested components of denying tickets to sitting contributors to overcome anti-incumbency. however, a few are hopeful that state’s new political matrix may additionally force the high command to keep away from antagonising them to check defections.
Modi as Gujarat CM had denied tickets to 47 sitting mlas in 2007 but the discern came right down to around 30 in 2012, ostensibly in the wake of the assignment posed by using keshubhai patel’s Gujarat parivartan celebration. in 2002, when Modi led Bjp for the primary time as cm in an election, 18 of 121 sitting mlas were dropped.
Whilst Keshubhai is now not a Danger to BJP, the way in which the patidar quota agitation led by means of hardik patel (no healthy in stature to keshubhai) turned into handled through the BJP authorities has antagonised the community like by no means earlier than. hardik is in all likelihood to have a tieup with congress and even if this doesn’t work out, he isn’t going to again BJP.
Congress already has the backing of OBC chief Alpesh Thakor, who has merged his outfit with it, and dalit leader Jignesh Mewani. on account that there’s a struggle of interest among thakor and hardik, in case the latter ties up with congress, the birthday party will attempt for a consensus between the 2 at some stage in ticket distribution.
Congress had already introduced earlier than ahmed patel’s election to the Rajya Sabha that every one sitting mlas could be allocated tickets this time. if it keeps its phrase, congress applicants for 43 seats are already decided. but, earlier than finalising applicants, BJP is probably to preserve the new caste equations in thoughts. with Hardik, Thakor and mewani being young leaders, BJP may experience the want to subject clean faces to counter the demanding situations posed by using them.
The kham (Kshatriya, Harijan, Adivasi, Muslim) formulation utilized by congress inside the past can be sturdy this time, even though BJP has made some overtures to tribals in beyond few months. that leaves bjp with the top caste (Brahmin, Bania — 10%) and obc (especially kolis — 20% by means of a few estimates). with fissures surfacing within the patels (15%), BJP expects some of its dependable vote financial institution from the network to return to the birthday party. but if antagonism is deep, congress may also gain the help of a vast chew of patidars.
BJP insiders said its election committee meeting may be held sometime this week after the pm returns from the asean summit on november 14. the birthday party might also watch for congress listing and the final results of the talks among Hardik and the grand old celebration.
